Is this the path to a stronger America?
Published on July 30, 2004 By Madine In Politics
I think John Kerry has a problem: the liberal base of his supporters has one view about foreign policy, and swing voters who are undecided have a completely opposite view. Kerry needs the support of both groups to win the election, but there isn't a position that will satisfy both of them. Or is there?

One of the key issues in US foreign policy is Iraq. (This subject has been heavily debated, so I do not want to rehash the arguments for and against the war here.) One question facing Americans today knowing what we know now is whether invading Iraq was a mistake or a good decision. I have seen three positions on the issue:

1. Invading Iraq was a mistake because it was a bad idea to invade Iraq.

2. Invading Iraq was a mistake because we didn't have the support of some of our allies (France/Russia/Germany) and so we had to shoulder too much of the burden.

3. Invading Iraq with the allies we had was a good decision.

Most liberal Democrats agree with position #1. I think John Kerry supports position #2. George Bush supports position #3. I think #1 and #3 are clear-cut positions. The people who believe in #1 would be against the war even if France approved it. The people who hold position #3 think it is the right thing to do even though France voted against it. The problem with position #2 is that the question of whether a particular action is good policy or not is determined by what France/Germany/Russia think of it.

Either way, the decision about whether to go to war in Iraq has serious consequences. Going to war means the loss of lives. Not going to war means that Saddam would stay in power. It's a tough decision, but I don't think it is strong leadership to say that the right decision depends on what France decides.

The $87 billion has already been mentioned many times. I don't want to regurgitate GOP sound-bytes, but I would like to point out the context of the vote. At the time, the Democratic Primary was on, and Howard Dean was gaining momentum by criticizing the war in Iraq. He said that Democrats needed to be against the war and stand up to President Bush, and that most of the other nominees weren't doing that. It was speculated at the time that if Kerry and Edwards, both primary candidates at the time, were to vote for the President's proposal of $87 billion, it would play right into Dean's message. I am concerned that when the time came to send money to fund our troops, Kerry and Edwards decided to send a political message to anti-war Democrats.

John Kerry announced a plan to increase the military by 40,000 people. I haven't seen the details of this proposal, but it sounds like a good idea. Kerry added a caveat though. He said that he would not send these troops to Iraq. This doesn't make sense to me. If we are going to get more troops, why would he promise not to send them to the place where we have the biggest commitment, the most fighting, and the most casualties? Looking at it through the lens of political calculation, it might make sense. There are some Democrats who favor sending more troops to Iraq. The anti-war activists however would loathe the idea.

John Kerry is right that foreign policy has complex problems. That doesn't mean we need contradictory or ambiguous solutions. We need to honest debate about how to make America stronger. We need to be focused on America's security, not glancing at war protestors out of the corner of our eye.

Comments
on Jul 31, 2004
The $87 billion has already been mentioned many times. I don't want to regurgitate GOP sound-bytes, but I would like to point out the context of the vote. At the time, the Democratic Primary was on, and Howard Dean was gaining momentum by criticizing the war in Iraq. He said that Democrats needed to be against the war and stand up to President Bush, and that most of the other nominees weren't doing that. It was speculated at the time that if Kerry and Edwards, both primary candidates at the time, were to vote for the President's proposal of $87 billion, it would play right into Dean's message. I am concerned that when the time came to send money to fund our troops, Kerry and Edwards decided to send a political message to anti-war Democrats.


That is one argument that could be made but the infamous "war vote" wasn't in reality a war vote. Now it does get into a rather grey area and since GWB "doesn't do nuance". Authorization for Use of Military Force Against Iraq Resolution of 2002 H.J.Res.114 didn't just authorize the President to use force at his beck and call. The resolution said if all forms of diplomacy had failed force could be used to "
(1) strictly enforce through the United Nations Security Council all relevant Security Council resolutions regarding Iraq and encourages him in those efforts; and

(2) obtain prompt and decisive action by the Security Council to ensure that Iraq abandons its strategy of delay, evasion and noncompliance and promptly and strictly complies with all relevant Security Council resolutions regarding Iraq.
".
Now people could debate untill we are blue in the face if diplomacy was working or if it wouldn't suceed. My point is that by not voting for the $87 billion didn't mean that Kerry had changed his mind about the war. A vote for H.J.Res.114 wasn't a vote for war but rather authorizing force under given circumstances.

I would argue that most people by and large think the war was a mistake because Iraq was starting to comply with UN resolutions and that force at that point was not needed.
on Aug 01, 2004
I would argue that most people by and large think the war was a mistake because Iraq was starting to comply with UN resolutions and that force at that point was not needed


Right now the country is about evenly divided on whether the war was a mistake.

I think Kerry can credibily take a position that he thought the war was a mistake. My complaint about Kerry is that he hasn't taken a clear position about whether he thinks the war was a mistake or not.
on Aug 01, 2004

Kerry as a young veteran stated that Vietnam was a mistake and got fried for it. He's not about to make that statement again. His implicit statement that war should be a last resort amounts to soft shoeing a "mistake."


There is a 4th position and where Kerry stands: the decision for war hinged on an actual threat and the means to clearly prove that danger was immediate.

on Aug 01, 2004
I think Kerry's position could be summed up as "invading Iraq without a plan to win the peace was a mistake." I think you can't deny that Bush did not have a plan, or if he did, it was a really bad plan.

So I think the presence of allies was not the key point. The presence of allies matters in that it would have helped us win the peace. But if we could have won the peace without them, then that would have been fine too.

I think Kerry would like to project, "I've got the same goals as Bush when it comes to terrorism, but I'm not an incompetent bungler. If I'd been in charge of this war, you wouldn't see prison torture, daily bombings, almost 1000 Americans dead, etc."
on Aug 02, 2004
The presence of allies matters in that it would have helped us win the peace.


How? I don't think there would have been much more than 15k troops, and probably less.

I think you can't deny that Bush did not have a plan, or if he did, it was a really bad plan.


The plan for postwar Iraq was 2 things.

1. Establish democracy

2. Establish an Iraqi security/defense force.

Number one has been going very well. Number two has not.

on Aug 02, 2004
Where is your 15k number coming from?